Thursday, December 13, 2012

Tax

Another set of charts from the Q3-2012 National Accounts:













Friday, December 07, 2012

Savings fall-off

Just wondering about the fall-off in national savings ...


Nominal net savings as a per cent of nominal GDP is in decline ...


This effect may be masked in the standard statistic from the national accounts ...


Because national disposable income is flat-lining ...


But more likely, it is the product of dis-savings in the non-Household sectors (ie. the NFP, business and government sectors).

Wednesday, December 05, 2012

Mark the Ballot

For those following my statistical exploration of opinion polls and related things psephological, they can be found on my new blog: Mark the Ballot.

GDP Q3 2012 - saving less - ToT shock

The headlines:





Some states in pain this quarter



The GDI v GDP disconnect (see ToT shock below)



ToT shock


Nominal GDP Growth ... still slowing


Are households feeling poorer?




Savings rate slowing ... consistent with households feeling poorer